NORTHERN NIGERIA INTERNAL SECURITY SITREP- Week Ending 27 December 2014

Situation Friendly Forces

20 December

Troops have reportedly reoccupied GONIRI GUJBA LGA, YOBE State

22 December

The NIGERIA Immigration Service states that it has deployed over 2000 out of the 10,000 member Special Armed Elite Force on border security

The Director General of NEMA Alhaji Sani SIDI stated that the FGN had set up an inter agency committee to bring Nigerian refugees in CHAD, NIGER and CAMEROUN back to NIGERIA

23 December

A General Courts Martial sitting in 1 Div, KADUNA sentenced a Colonel, Captain and 2nd Lieutenant and 13 Other Ranks to 2 years imprisonment for failing to reinforce GSS CHIBOK during the attacks that led to the abductions in April and for releasing information without verification of the Army.

7 Div and the BORNO State Government has announced a total restriction on vehicular movement in MAIDUGURI and other parts of BORNO State from 6.00pm 24th December to 7.00am 28th December

The YOBE State Government has restricted vehicular movement between towns from 6.00pm 24th December to 7.00am 28th December. Movement within towns outside thee hours of curfew are permitted however.

The Nigerian Ambassador to CHAD Mohammed DAUDA stated that he was in receipt of reports that vehicles, goods and items of equipment reportedly stolen from schools, individuals, government offices etc in MUBI, ADAMAWA State had been identified in CHAD. The Chadian Gendarmerie have reportedly been notified.

The ADAMAWA State Government and 23 Armoured Brigade have banned the use of Keke NAPEP Tricycles between 4th December 2014 and 4th January 2015

The NPF Spokesman stated that the IGP had ordered that all policemen deployed to YOBE State would be pad their salaries and allowances.

The Coordinator of the National Information Centre Mike OMERI states that intelligence reports show that 3 South Africans masquerading as humanitarian workers were recruiting for ISIS in NIGERIA

24 December

The NPF presented a 14 year old suspected PBSIED bomber Zahra’u BABANGIDA (from BAUCHI State) who was arrested 10 December in KANO, KANO State. The child alleged that her parents had taken her to an insurgent leader in a forest in the vicinity of GIDAN ZANA, KANO State. She stated that she was compelled to take part in the attack on pain of death or being buried alive. She claimed to have been taken to KANTIN KARI Market, KANO by unknown men with 3 other women with explosive belts but was injured in the leg when one of the other girls detonated her device. She fled the scene and went to DAWANAU Town, DAWAKIN TOFA LGA, KANO State and took a taxi to a hospital for medical attention, where she was arrested apparently on the taxi drivers tip off. The KANO state Police Commissioner also stated that one of her handlers and the vehicle which brought her to KANO were in Police custody. The IED belt consisted of 7 containers of explosive with battery pack, switch and detonator. Police state that they have been unable to trace the father

Security forces raided an IED workshop in NASARAWA LGA, KANO State detaining an unspecified number of IED makers

A General Courts Martial sitting in MOGADISHU BARRACKS, ABUJA sentenced 3 x Lance Corporals and 1 x Private from 111 Battalion to death for mutiny. One other soldier was found not guilty and acquitted. DHQ states that at least 100 more soldiers face court martials.

27 December

The BORNO State Deputy Governor Zannah Umar MUSTAPHA whilst on a visit to IDPS in ADAMAWA State, stated that the BORNO State government spends N667m per month feeding IDPs in the state and that the State Government had evacuated 42,000 BORNO indigenes from ADAMAWA State.

Situation Enemy Forces

21 December

Gunmen mounted in pickup trucks attacked GEIDAM, GEIDAM LGA, YOBE State with small arms and IEDs around 5.00pm burning telecom mast, the market a police station, prison and military outposts. At least 17 prisoners escaped, 5 people were reported killed and foodstuffs looted. Friendly forces supported by an attack helicopter repelled the attack after several hours.

22 December

An IED detonated in CENTRAL Market, BAUCHI, BAUCHI State around 5.00pm killing at least 10 people, wounding 25 and causing a fire in the market destroying at least 70 stores. 2 males in MOPOL uniform and a female in mufti were detained as suspects.

Gunmen attacked NARFIDE Village, GASSOL LGA, TARABA State during a wedding ceremony killing 13 people and injuring 30.

A VBIED detonated in commercial vehicle in DUKKU Motor Park, GOMBE, GOMBE State around 11.00am followed by another explosion killing at least 20 people and injuring 60. The vehicle was destined for BAJOGA. A woman and a man (or young boy according to some witnesses) had deposited her bag in the vehicle a few minutes prior to detonation. It is not clear if they were the bombers or innocent victims.

23 December

Approximately 20 gunmen mounted in 4 vehicles attempted to rob a bank in OKENE, OKENE LGA, KOGI State. 4 MOPOL were killed by gunfire, however the attackers were repelled by policemen from adjoining banks, killing 2 and injuring an unspecified number

24 December

A VBIED contained in a Honda Car attempted to ram a checkpoint in BAJOGA, FUNAKAYE LGA, GOMBE State. The attacker attempted to ram an APC and then tried to drive off after his device failed to go off. He was then shot and killed. The IED appeared to consist of 4 x 105mm artillery shells and 4 x 155 or 122mm artillery shells daisy chained together

25 December

30 cattle were reportedly stolen from KUME Market, GOMBE, GOMBE State around 12.45am. no casualties were reported

27 December

Gunmen attacked TATAURA Village SANGA LGA, KADUNA State killing 10 people and injuring an unspecified number

Situation External Forces

21 December

Elements of BIR captured 5 suspected Boko Haram members around 11.00pm between MORA and WAZA, MAYO SAVA Department, EXTREME NORD Region, CAMEROUN

23 December

A vehicle containing BIM soldiers detonated an IED/ mine in the vicinity of AMCHIDE, MAYO SAVA Department, EXTREME NORD Region killing 3 soldiers and injuring 5

24 December

Media reports state that Camerounian forces have sent reinforcements to EXTREME NORD Region

Gunmen operating on Route National 1 between MORA and WAZA, MAYO SAVA Department, EXTREME NORD Region, CAMEROUN ambushed 55 vehicles. No casualties were reported.

Camerounian forces captured 4 suspected Boko Haram members including an alleged Nigeria Army deserter in KERAWA, MAYO SAVA Department, EXTREME NORD Region, CAMEROUN

25 December

Gunmen attacked a village in MOKOLO, MAYO TSANAGA Department, EXTREME NORD Region killing 5 people and burning 30 houses

26 December

Gunmen ambushed a BIR Landcruiser on Route National 1 in the vicinity of MORA and WAZA between MAROUA and KOUSERRI, MAYO SAVA Department killing 1 soldier and wounding 3 and stealing the Landcruiser.

Gunmen attacked MBALJUEL, MAYO SAVA Department, EXTREME NORD Region, CAMEROUN killing 30 people

Camerounian forces attacked enemy positions in BANKI, BAMA LGA, BORNO State, NIGERIA with artillery from AMCHIDE and LIMANI. UAVs were reportedly used, their role and ownership is not known

The Camerounian Air Force attacked enemy positions in SOUERAM, LOGONE ET CHARI Department, EXTREME NORD Region, CAMEROUN reportedly killing 53 fighters

Gunmen attacked DOUBLE and MAGDEME, MAYO SAVA Department, EXTREME NORD Region, CAMEROUN

Approximately 1,000 gunmen attacked MOKOLO, GUIRVIDK, WAZA, AMCHIDE and MAKARI Villages, LOGONE ET CHARI Department, EXTREME NORD Region around 6.00pm and were repelled by Camerounian forces who reportedly killed 40 enemy

Elements of BIR supported by the Camerounian Air Force attacked DOBLE, MAYO SAVA Department, EXTREME NORD Region, CAMEROUN reportedly killing 100 people and capturing over 200. Camerounian Air Force personnel were reported injured

Gunmen attacked SAFARI, MAYO SAVA Department, EXTREME NORD Region, CAMEROUN, they were repelled by elements of BIR who killed 50 attackers losing 4 of their own

Gunmen attacked TOKOMBERE, MAYO SAVA Department, EXTREME NORD Region allegedly in an attempt to abduct President of the National Assembly of CAMEROUN, Cavaye Yeguie DJIBRIL. DJIBRIL and his family were safely evacuated to MAROUA, EXTREME NORD Region

27 December

Gunmen attacked MOZOGO, MAYO SAVA Department, EXTREME NORD Region killing 23 people and burning the village. There were also 8,000 Nigerian refugees in the area, their fate is unknown

Table 1 Insurgent incidents

Insurgent Incidents

 

IED Vehicle IED Suicide IED Small Arms Small arms+IED Other wpns Theft Kidnapping Foreign Attacks
4 2/4` 0 4 1 0 1 0 13

Analysis

Joyeux Noel: In their most determined and widespread offensive thus far Boko Haram launched a series of attacks across Mayo Sava and Logone et Chari Departments in the Extreme Nord Region of Cameroun.

The attacks have been sustained and focussed on particular areas. It will be noted that Camerounians forces recently attacked and dismantled a Boko Haram training in Logone et Chari Department, it is unclear if this is spoiling attack to prevent them from overrunning further camps but what it does clearly demonstrate is that Cameroun’s involvement in this conflict as predicted is moving from its currently barely contained level to catastrophic. The combination of IEDs on the roads and multiple attacks against military but more importantly civilian targets across the Extreme Nord Region will stretch Cameroun’s tiny army and gendarmerie putting them in the same dilemma as the Nigerian Army, i.e. majority of their combat power will be devoted to protecting themselves and their lies of supply leaving virtually no forces left over to protect the population or carry out offensive attacks. This is not unique problem, it was exactly the same problem that bedevilled the tiny British force in Helmand province (and by extension the entire NATO force in Afghanistan), the problem was partly addressed by using helicopters for resupply, building the all-weather route 601 and guarding it but there were never enough forces until the US Marine surge to take the fight to the enemy.

There are no enough men, trucks, roads, MRAPs or helicopters to adequately garrison Camerounian towns and villages and once Boko Haram begins IED attacks against civilian targets sucking even more security manpower into towns and cities, Camerounians will begin to lose control of more territory than they already have and much like Nigeria has sacrificed the border areas of the Area of Operations to defend the major urban centres, Cameroun will be forced to abandon the area around Lake Chad and then the areas bordering the Mandara Mountains delivering Boko Harams desired caliphate to them.

This is all dependant on 4 spoiling factors not coming in to play

  1. Boko Haram having the funds, men, arms and ammunition to maintain this operational tempo
  2. A sustained and coordinated offensive by Nigeria
  3. The intervention of Chadian forces
  4. The intervention of France

I would like to wish you all a Happy New Year

Unfortunately for many of us in Nigeria, Cameroun, Niger and Chad 2015 will be anything but happy.

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About peccavi

A Nigerian with interests in defence, security, geopolitics, the military particularly small unit tactics, COIN, stabilisation and asymmetric warfare
This entry was posted in Counter insurgency, Defence, Nigeria Defence, Nigeria Strategy, Stabilisation, Terrorism, West Africa Defence, West Africa Strategy and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

3 Responses to NORTHERN NIGERIA INTERNAL SECURITY SITREP- Week Ending 27 December 2014

  1. jimmy says:

    Questions to ponder
    The airbase that was overrun what tangible assets were taken/ destroyed/ recovered?
    What honestly do boko haram hope to gain from this sustained attack, in short what are they attempting to sacrifice by opening their two country offensive?
    I want to understand or believe that it is not a question of if but when Boko haram will sieze/ hoist and stay in territory in Cameroon what will be the reaction of BIYA will he now literally get his head out of his ass and cooperate with Nigeria to set up the long awaited 750 man battalion still a proposal still dead on arrival.
    My constructive critique is this: Cameroon needs to switch the TV cameras off first,and Nigeria needs to get off her high horse and devise a plan to literally create an ARMY/ AIRFORCE GARRISON on the MANDARA MTNS ( ARTY UNITS/ SF/AND HELIOS) This should be a reinforced base i.e able to repel attacks and counterattacks it should then be used to hunt/ interdict and destroy anything moving on either side of the border.
    Just my two kobos.
    Have a happy new year, oh by the way this should cheer you up . The punch is reporting that 7 bh insurgents in a toyota hilux van while trying to prime their ieds blew themselves up. You i just could not keep that warm feeling out of me as i picture a closed van with 7 people in there closely packed and something just going horribly right lol.

  2. jimmy says:

    * I pictured*

  3. peccavi says:

    Oga Jimmy First off Happy New Year
    Its difficult to totally understand BH particularly when I’m trying to do it from a distance, to really understand one needs to be on the ground smell the air, feel the soil, talk to people and live the conflict.
    However from this perspective I think their main effort is the area around Lake Chad and the Mandaras.
    Cameroun represents strategic depth, a source of manpower (or childpower o be hones) bases, rest areas, food, fuel, supply lines etc and the Camerounians have become to proactive, not just defending their border towns butt clearing the areas around Mora and Waza.
    Historically even going back to WW1 Mora was the last redoubt of the Germans and much lik Nigeria needs to secure the Mandaras, Cameroun needs to clear and secure Mora and Waza
    The garrisoning of the Mandaras is key but in my mind the most effective way is to attac from East to west from Cameroun or from the south through the Adamawa Plateau and progressively squeeze them out of the hills.
    They do not need to worry about Chad because much like in Cameroun and Nigeria they have links to key politicians there and I believe it is a convenient safety valve for Deby to get rid of some of his naughty boys as well as keep pressure on Cameroun and Nigeria that hee can manipulate. All the while he is protected by the French. Likewise Niger. The area bordering Niger is quite spares and they are also protected by France so BH will not piss them of unless they cross the line like Cameroun.
    The problem with Biya is much like in Nigeria holding on to power is the priority not protecting the people.

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